Saturday, September 17, 2011

UARS



UPDATE:
This has basically become a dumping ground for this UARS re-entry stuff until it is fallen burnt and documented. There are quite a few MSMs, FUDs, etc floating around and probably some where a guy is making a buck of it. I seriously doubt *ANYONE* will even notice this happening unless they really try to, let alone have any need to be worried about it...


3 forecasts from http://www.satobs.org/seesat/Sep-2011/0146.html


NASA :       24 September +/- 01 days

SPACE TRACK: 24 September, 01:59 UT +/- 144 hours (!)
             descending over 2°, 52.2°E

H.Zimmer     24 September, 18:40 UT +/- 30 hours

forecast by software:
Decays after    6.4241 days on date = 11267.0185 (2011 September 24)

from what was on UARS reentry page...  

From date:Saturday, September 17, 2011 at 10:30:38 PM
Added 7 days, 18 hours, 29 minutes, 29 seconds
Resulting date: Sunday, September 25, 2011 at 5:00:07 PM



Gpredict for linux says that should place it at it's current rate around lat -36 lon -80


UARS

1 21701U 91063B   09276.91460748  .00008931  00000-0  11683-3 0  7815
2 21701  56.9697 247.3224 0076394  29.9179 330.6222 15.56125766996146

Gpredict UARS at time clock runs out.
http://g.co/maps/3pg82 shows that there is a nifty island that would have had a great view!





View Larger Map


a quick google search revealed an updated trajectory in an astronomy forum post http://astronomy.activeboard.com/t44005289/uars-satellite-re-entry/ from Biobrana:


The UARS satellite is predicted to re-enter the Earths atmosphere on the 24th September, 2011 @ 01:59 GMT  ± 144 hours.
UCARS240911b.gif
Expand (27kb, 857 x 564)
UARS
1 21701U 91063B   11260.59435732  .00921321  10955-4  64264-3 0  5902
2 21701 056.9488 293.9334 0017921 012.2946 347.8568 16.15382918108127
Period:       89.21 minutes
Inclination: 56.95°
Apogee:     248 km
Perigee:     223 km
Revolution Number: 10918
Predicted Location:  2°S, 52.2°E